بررسی شرایط آب و هوایی دشت مغان برای کشت محصول پنبه با روش ANP

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 دانشگاه محقق اردبیلی

2 دانشجوی دکتری جغرافیای طبیعی، اقلیم‌شناسی، دانشکده ادبیات و علوم انسانی، دانشگاه محقق اردبیلی، اردبیل، ایران

3 دانش آموخته، کارشناسی ارشد، رشته اقلیم شناسی، دانشکده ادبیات و علوم انسانی، دانشگاه محقق اردبیلی، اردبیل،

چکیده

اقلیم و توپوگرافی از جمله مولفه­های محیطی هستند که استعداد و قابلیت تولید محصول زراعی در یک منطقه به آن­ها وابسته است. لذا مطالعه­ی عناصر و عوامل اقلیمی مؤثر بر کشاورزی از اهمیت ویژه­ای برخوردار است. هدف اصلی این تحقیق شناخت مناطق مستعد دشت مغان برای کشت محصول پنبه براساس روش­های تصمیم­گیری چند معیاره در محیط GIS می­باشد. به همین منظور برای شناخت مناطق مستعد منطقه مورد مطالعه از آمار داده­های اقلیمی ایستگاه­های سینوپتیکی و کلیماتولوژی سطح مغان از قبیل: درجه حرارت، بارش، رطوبت­نسبی، ساعات آفتابی و درجه روز رشد و داده­های قابلیت محیطی از قبیل: شیب، ارتفاع و کاربری اراضی از زمان تأسیس تا سال 1394 استفاده شده است. با وزن­دهی به پلیگون نقشه­های تهیه شده براساس معیارها و مدل مورد نظر، تلفیق و همپوشانی نقشه ها در محیط GIS صورت گرفته و نقشه نهایی ارزیابی تناسب اراضی برای کشت پنبه تهیه شد. براساس نتایج، اراضی منطقه­ی مورد مطالعه براساس پتانسیل اقلیمی و محیطی برای کشت پنبه 04/54 درصد اراضی بدون محدودیت، 87/24 درصد اراضی با محدودیت کم، 1/13 درصد اراضی با محدودیت متوسط، 6/8 درصد اراضی با محدودیت زیاد می­باشد.

کلیدواژه‌ها


عنوان مقاله [English]

Survy weather condition Moughan plain for the cultivation of cotton by ANP

نویسندگان [English]

  • Behroz Sobhani 1
  • Vahid Safarian Zengir 2
  • Zahra Ghasem Abadi 3
1 University of Mohaghegh Ardabili
2 Ph.D. student of physical geography, climatology, Faculty of Literature and Human Sciences, University of Mohaghegh Ardabili, Ardabil, Iran
3 Graduate, climatology, Faculty of Literature and Human Sciences, University of Mohaghegh Ardabili, Ardabil, Iran
چکیده [English]

Introduction
The existence of immensely progressive development in various fields of agriculture such as plant pest control, weed, plant breeding, irrigation, soil structure improvement and biotechnology, the role of paying attention to the proper culture of crops is becoming more prominent every day (Rasuli and Ghaemi, 122: 2010). Agriculture is the most important economic activity in the world and covers the entire land on earth, and accounts for 45% of the employed population (Kukki et al, 2003: 3).
Therefore, in this research, it is attempted to use the ANP method to identify and identify the areas of the study area that are prone to cotton planting in Moughan Plain using climatic and physical factors of the earth and the use of GIS. To put up.
 
Materials and methods
In the present study, two climatological databases and a land resources base have been used to achieve the desired goal. Climate databases that contain climatic elements of temperature, precipitation, relative humidity, sunny hours, day-to-day growth, statistics from the synoptic station and the climatology of the Weather Administration and Water Organization of the province, since the establishment until 2015 Have been developed. Then, using statistical software, Excel compiled the database in the GIS environment. Subsequently, each of the relevant parameters, in the GIS environment, was transformed into information layers and maps by generalizing the data of the stations to the surrounding levels.
The ANP method is another method of decision making and has a more general form of other methods. As a result, the more complex relationships between the different levels of decision are represented in a network, and they consider the interactions between the criteria and the alternatives (suggestions). Many of today's systems and programs operate in a multi-criteria manner through a network structure and then the evaluation of suggestions and strategies (Uxel, 2009: 4). One of the early algorithms in multi-criteria decision-making techniques is the AHP, which is suited to solving most complex issues. The AHP was used by the hour in 1980.
Calculation of criteria weight based on ANP model
The time has come to develop a theory of the AHP method, the ANP method, or the network analysis process, in which it is possible that the elements and clusters interact with each other. This connection refers to the association of a cluster with other clusters or the association of elements of a cluster with each other (Sectani et al, 2001: 7). This connection is shown in Fig. 3, which is an overview of the model worked for this study and is well illustrated.
 
Results and discussion
Assessment of Climatic Elements Related to the Cotton Cotton Climatic Needs
Evaluation of Moughan plain temperatures for cotton cultivation According to the research objective, in order to study the thermal condition of Moughan plain with the thermal needs of cotton, it is necessary to study the temperature conditions of the stations studied in relation to the thermal requirements of cotton. To do this, databases on the thermal parameters required for cotton in the GIS environment are processed using the functions contained therein and by generalizing the data to the surface, the information layers of each of them, with attention Cotton thermal requirements were based on the criteria set. The maps prepared for the thermal needs of cotton include the average of maximum temperatures, the average of the minimum temperature, the temperature of the germination stage, the flower and the maturity, the annual temperature (the temperature of the growth period). The data of Moughan Plain Station statistics were used to prepare each of the relevant maps and finally the data was analyzed using data processing and the conversion of point data to spatial data using inference method.
 
Conclusion
In this research, data of ground resources such as topographic characteristics of the area (altitude, slope) and land use (including crop rotation, rainforest, rangeland, and forests) were investigated. Each layer was examined and evaluated separately for the needs and conditions for cotton cultivation. In this way, the integration and overlapping of the layers were based on the importance and impact of each of the criteria. To do this, first by comparing the paired matrix, each of the criteria was compared in relative terms and each relative importance was determined. The height criterion for cotton was weighted (0.34202), land use for cotton (0.31224), and slope for cotton (0.34574). Due to these factors, in general, the northern parts are suitable for cultivation. The results of the data analysis indicate that 54.4% of Moughan plain area is unrestricted for cotton cultivation, and 6.8% of the area for cotton cultivation is inappropriate.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Climate
  • cotton
  • analysis lattice process ANP
  • Moughan
  1.  

    1. AbdelGadir, A.H., Dougherty M., Fulton J.P., Curtis L.M., Tyson T. W., Harkins H.D. and   Norris B.E, 2015, Effect of Different Deficit-Irrigation Capabilities on Cotton Yield in the Tennessee Valley”. Irrigat Drainage Sys Eng ISSN: IDSE, an open access Journal Vol .
    2. Abdollahiyan, Z; Abdollahiyan, and Abdollahiyan, M, 2012, Prioritization of entrepreneurial entrepreneurial skills by FANP method (Case Study Jihad University), National Conference on Entrepreneurship and Management and Knowledge Based Business, p 4.
    3. Azar, AS; Rajabzadeh, Ali, 2010, Applied Decision Making - MADN Approach, Fifth Edition, Tehran, Publishing nekahdanesh.
    4. Balkcom, K.S., Andrew, J. P., Edzard, V.S., Dennis, P.D, Deborah, L., Boykin, F.J., Arriaga, J.S., Bergtold, T.S., Kornecki, R.L.R, 2010, Row spacing, tillage system, and herbicide technology affects cotton plant growth and yield, Field Crops Research 117, 219–22.
    5. Boix, L.R., Zinck, J.A, 2008, Land-use planning in the Chaco plain (Burruyacu, Argentina). Part 1: Evaluating land-use options to support crop diversification in an agricultural frontier area using physical land evaluation. Environ Manage 42:1043–1063.
    6. Chen, H.S., Liu, G.S., Yang Y.F., Ye, X.F. and Shi, Z, 2010, Comprehensive evaluation of tobacco ecological suitability of Henan province based on GIS. Agri. Sci. China. 9:583-592.
    7. Coelli T.J. Prasada Rao D.S., O'Donnel C.J. and Battese G.E, 2005, An Introduction to Efficiency and Productivity Analysis. Second edition. Springer Science. New York.
    8. Dela-Rosa, D.L., Anaya-Romero, M., Pereira, E.D., Heredia, N., and Shahbazi, F, 2009, Soil-specific agro-ecological strategies for sustainable land use- A case study by using MicroLEIS DSS in Sevilla province (Spain). Land Use Policy. 26: 1055-1065.
    9. Fang, hsu. Pi, 2010, Applying the ANP model for selecting the optimal location for an International Business iffice center inchina, Asia pacific Management Review, 15 (1), 27-410.
    10. Halbayan, H; Hakimi-Nejad, M, 2015, Possibility of cotton cultivation in Kashan Plain using Geographic Information System, National Conference on Sustainable Agriculture, Environment and Rural Development, Kohdasht. Department of Agricultural Jihad in Koohdasht, Fifth New Line Co., p. 14-1.
    11. haleh, H; Karimian, h, 2010, Selection of the most suitable structure to improve system capability using the ANP, International Journal of Industrial Engineering and Production Management, Issue 3, Vol. 21, p. 28.
    12. karami, m, 2005, Determination of rainfed wheat cultivar in Hamedan province using climate clay, Master thesis, Faculty of Geography, University of Tehran.
    13. Kazemi, h, 2014, Ecological zoning of agricultural lands of Gorgan for sunflower cultivation, Journal of Plant Production Research, Vol. 21, No. 1.
    14. Kazemi, H, Tahmasebi, Esfahan, Z, Kamkar, B., Shahtbehi, S., Sadeghi, S, 2013, Landscape-zonal zoning of Golestan Province for Soybean Culture using GIS Geographic Information System and Analytical Hierarchy Process AHP, Journal of Agricultural Science and Sustainable Production, Vol. 23, No. 4.
    15. Kiriga, W.J., YU, Q. and Bill, R, 2016, Breeding and genetic engineering of drought- resistant crops. Intl. J. Agri. Crop Sci. 9(1): 7-12.
    16. Kochki, e: dahqanian, s; Clairaheri, AS, 2003, Introduction to Agricultural Geography, David Graig, Ferdowsi University Press, Second Edition, p. 3.
    17. Leung, L., Hui, Y., & Zheng, M, 2003, Analysis of compatibility between interdependent matrices in ANP. Journal of the operational Research Society , 54(7),758-768
    18. Mehregan, F., Karamatzadeh, A.; Ishraqi, F., Shirani, F, 2016, Factors Affecting the Reaction of Cotton Extraction Area in Golestan Province, Iranian Journal of Cotton Research, No. 1, vol.4, pp. 16-1.
    19. Mert, M., Ece, A., Yas¸ A., Akis¸ C, Mehmet, C., Alis¸ k, 2006, Response of cotton (Gossypium hirsutum L.) to different tillage systems and intra-row spacing, Soil & Tillage Research 85, 221– 228.
    20. Mohammadi, A; Pashaei-eul, E .; mosavati, A., Sadeghi, S, 2007, Evaluation of Land Qualitative Appropriateness for Major Crop Products in Gonbad Kavous Area, Journal of Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources, Vol. 14, No. 5.
    21. Nuti, R.C., Lamb, M.C, Sorensen, R.B, Truman, C.C, 2009, Agronomic and economic response to furrow diking tillage in irrigated and non-irrigated cotton (Gossypium hirsutum L.), Agricultural Water Management 96, 1078–1084.
    22. Pereira, L.S., Paredes, P., Sholpankulov, E.D., Inchenkova, O.P., Teodoro, P.R. and Horst, M.G, 2009, Irrigation scheduling strategies for cotton to cope with water scarcity in the Fergana Valley, Central Asia. Agr. Water Manage. 96, 1 :1, 2012.
    23. Rajabzzadeh, N, Sanei, Nejad, H, 2010, The zoning of suitable cotton growing regions based on temperature parameters of Khorasan Razavi province using GIS, 2nd National Agricultural and Sustainable Development Conference, Opportunities and Challenges of March 11th and 12th, 2010, Islamic Azad University, Shiraz.
    24. Rasouli, C .; Ghaemi, Rasoul, A, 2010, The zoning of oilseed crops based on ecological and climatic requirements using GIS in Khorasan provinces (rapeseed case sample), National conference on new achievements in the production of oilseed plants, Islamic Azad University, Bojnourd Branch.
    25. Samanta, S., Pal, B., Pal, D.K, 2011, Land suitability analysis for rice cultivation based on multi- criteria decision approach through GIS. Inter. Sci. Emerging Technol 2(1):12-21.
    26. Sekitani, K., & Takahashi, I, 2001, A unified model and analysis for AHP and ANP. Journal of the operations research society of japan, 67-89.
    27. Shabani, F, Kotey, B, 2016, Future distribution of cotton and wheat in Australia under potential climate change: Journal of Agricultural Science, 154: 175-185.
    28. Sidi, M; Daneshvar Kakki, M, 2014, Cotton Economics: A Study of Cost Efficiency and Profit for Cotton Farmers in Boshruyah, Journal of Agricultural Economics and Development, No. 4, vol. 28, pp. 2367-360.
    29. Sobhani, B., Omidzadeh, e, 2013, Study of the Role of Temperature and Rainfall Climate Elements in the Preparation of Corn Cultivars in Khorramabad City, The 2nd International Conference on Plant, Water, Soil and Air Modeling, Kerman, Iran.
    30. uqaneh, e; parvaneh, b, 2015, Climatic zoning of cotton cultivation in Lorestan province using GIS Geographic Information System, 1st International Conference and 4th National Conference on Environmental and Agricultural Researches in Iran, Hamedan, Permanent Secretariat of the Conference.
    31. Yazdani, S; Shahbazi, H., Kavasi-Klashemi, M, 2010, Investigation of indirect production function and budget constraints on cotton production in Khorasan province. Journal of Agricultural Economics and Development Research, No. 41, vol. 4, pp. 433-425.
    32. Yuksel, Ihsan. & Dagdeviren, Metin, 2009, A fuzzy analytic network process (ANP) model for measurement of sectoral competition level (SCL), expert system with application. 37, 1005-1014.
    33. Zabardast, Esfandiar, 2010, Application of Network Analysis Process (ANP) in Urban and Regional Planning, Journal of Fine Arts, Architecture and Urban Development, No. 41, pp. 79-90.